Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.040315 0.045760 0.051816 0.059075 0.067575 0.077254 0.089167
2024-10-06 0.033420 0.041047 0.050371 0.062730 0.078862 0.099461 0.128162
2024-10-13 0.026971 0.034829 0.045041 0.059505 0.079835 0.107959 0.150835
2024-10-20 0.023236 0.031215 0.042097 0.058363 0.082666 0.118644 0.177942
2024-10-27 0.020320 0.028188 0.039354 0.056810 0.084274 0.127380 0.203491
2024-11-03 0.018804 0.026887 0.038798 0.058240 0.090414 0.143937 0.245289
2024-11-10 0.017565 0.025806 0.038370 0.059703 0.096701 0.161716 0.293414
2024-11-17 0.016189 0.024340 0.037134 0.059612 0.100234 0.175186 0.336599
2024-11-24 0.014843 0.022769 0.035530 0.058637 0.101956 0.185499 0.375859
2024-12-01 0.013931 0.021800 0.034796 0.059050 0.106253 0.201526 0.431854
2024-12-08 0.013068 0.020823 0.033932 0.059091 0.109787 0.216608 0.489972
2024-12-15 0.012347 0.020017 0.033272 0.059410 0.113894 0.233679 0.558247
2024-12-22 0.011320 0.018653 0.031594 0.057778 0.114175 0.243404 0.613997
2024-12-29 0.011054 0.018623 0.032369 0.061187 0.126154 0.284009 0.775380
2025-01-05 0.010001 0.017065 0.030114 0.058047 0.122750 0.285625 0.818862
2025-01-12 0.009301 0.016100 0.028895 0.056937 0.123926 0.299536 0.909324
2025-01-19 0.008630 0.015131 0.027573 0.055429 0.123865 0.310111 0.993554
2025-01-26 0.008325 0.014833 0.027554 0.056817 0.131349 0.344289 1.184992
2025-02-02 0.008045 0.014557 0.027551 0.058238 0.139215 0.382064 1.415119
2025-02-09 0.007649 0.014019 0.026946 0.058150 0.142986 0.408141 1.611763
2025-02-16 0.007213 0.013366 0.026035 0.057203 0.144177 0.426124 1.782980
2025-02-23 0.006923 0.012988 0.025684 0.057605 0.149388 0.459843 2.061146
2025-03-02 0.006626 0.012573 0.025214 0.057644 0.153543 0.491256 2.353963